The Mortgage Files

Nationally syndicated mortgage news and advice from Senior Loan Officer Scott Sheldon.

Could FHA Mortgage Insurance Be Reduced Again? Here’s What Homebuyers Should Know

By Scott Sheldon / August 20, 2026

If you’ve been thinking about buying a home with an FHA loan, you may have heard some chatter throughout the mortgage industry about another possible reduction in FHA mortgage insurance premiums (MIP). Before we go any further, it’s important to separate fact from speculation. As of today, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has not announced…

Could Conventional Mortgages Become Assumable? The Industry Is Talking, But Nothing Is Official Yet

By Scott Sheldon / August 20, 2026

One of the biggest challenges facing today’s housing market isn’t necessarily home prices—it’s something many economists refer to as the mortgage lock-in effect. Millions of homeowners purchased or refinanced homes between 2020 and 2022 when mortgage interest rates were historically low. Many of those borrowers locked in rates between 2% and 4%. Fast forward to…

Mortgage Rate Forecast: What to Watch and Why Timing Is Tough

By Scott Sheldon / February 4, 2026

Let’s face it—everyone wants to know when mortgage rates will drop. Whether you’re buying your first home, refinancing an existing loan, or just watching from the sidelines, it’s tempting to wait for the “perfect” rate. But here’s the truth: no one can predict how low mortgage rates will go, not even the experts. That’s because…

When Mortgage Rates Actually Fall (And Why That Hasn’t Happened Yet)

By Scott Sheldon / January 14, 2026

Over the past week, there has been a lot of noise around mortgage rates. Headlines moved fast, social media lit up, and many buyers and homeowners were left wondering the same thing: “Are rates finally coming down?” The short answer, as of mid-January, is no. Mortgage rates are essentially unchanged. Last week, President Trump made…

Why a Federal Reserve Rate Cut Doesn’t Automatically Lower Mortgage Rates

By Scott Sheldon / September 22, 2025

On September 17th, 2025, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates—a move that had many people instantly thinking mortgage rates would drop too. But if you’ve been watching this closely, you know it doesn’t work that way. In fact, this exact scenario played out before. Back in June and again in September of 2024, everyone expected…

Why Income Drives Buying Power More Than Credit or Cash

By Scott Sheldon / July 8, 2025

When it comes to buying a home, most people focus on credit scores and down payments. Those two things matter—but if you ask any experienced loan officer what really determines how much home you can afford, the answer is simple: income. Income is the engine behind your buying power. It determines how much a lender…

What’s Driving the Volatility and What Comes Next?

By Scott Sheldon / April 15, 2025

Mortgage Rates in April 2025: What’s Driving the Volatility and What Comes Next As of April 2025, mortgage rates are experiencing notable fluctuations, reflecting the broader economic uncertainties. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has hovered around 6.6% to 6.85% in recent weeks, influenced by various macroeconomic factors. Key Factors Influencing Current Mortgage Rates Federal…

The Impact of Lower Interest Rates on Housing Inventory Challenges

By Scott Sheldon / March 10, 2025

The U.S. housing market has been grappling with a significant inventory shortage, with an estimated deficit of 3.7 million homes. This scarcity has intensified competition among buyers, leading to bidding wars and elevated home prices. In this context, a reduction in mortgage interest rates can have profound effects on the market dynamics, particularly concerning home…