The Mortgage Files

Nationally syndicated mortgage news and advice from Senior Loan Officer Scott Sheldon.

Mortgage Rate Forecast: What to Watch and Why Timing Is Tough

By Scott Sheldon / February 4, 2026

Let’s face it—everyone wants to know when mortgage rates will drop. Whether you’re buying your first home, refinancing an existing loan, or just watching from the sidelines, it’s tempting to wait for the “perfect” rate. But here’s the truth: no one can predict how low mortgage rates will go, not even the experts. That’s because…

Why a Federal Reserve Rate Cut Doesn’t Automatically Lower Mortgage Rates

By Scott Sheldon / September 22, 2025

On September 17th, 2025, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates—a move that had many people instantly thinking mortgage rates would drop too. But if you’ve been watching this closely, you know it doesn’t work that way. In fact, this exact scenario played out before. Back in June and again in September of 2024, everyone expected…